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This morning, oh, the hubris. Plus, the reason real health care reform (noted in my last post) won’t pass. And Yahoo may’ve just swallowed Microsoft cyanide.

The Wall Street Journal analyzes a speech by William Dudley, the ex-Goldman Sachs economist just appointed president of the New York Federal Reserve. Yes, you read that correctly.

Dudley thinks the Fed should be responsible for preventing asset bubbles. He believes the Fed can see them before they happen and should have the authority to control prices if necessary. Ben Bernanke disagrees:

According to Mr. Bernanke, even if the Fed “could identify bubbles, monetary policy is far too blunt a tool for effective use against them.” For these experienced central bankers, policy is a matter of risk-management under uncertainty; they don’t imagine that they are wise enough to detect every problem and solve it.

Mr. Dudley seems surer of himself. He notes confidently, by way of example, that “the housing bubble in the United States had been identified by many by 2005.” Well, that’s true. But it is only true in retrospect. It offers no justification for a leap toward government control of asset prices.

At Forbes, Mike Masnick has an interesting take on the Yahoo-Microsoft deal. He says the companies are still not thinking forward:

Looking at Yahoo!’s new deal with Microsoft, it looks like it’s still fighting that last battle. It’s still playing catch-up. It’s still looking for search market share, rather than relevance. The search battle is no longer a battle at all. Microsoft may have built a quality search engine in Bing (the reviews are lovely), but for most people, Google is good enough. The battle is over in search. There’s no reason to shift to another player, because there’s very little discontentment with what Google provides. Microsoft (and now Yahoo!) may pick up some users on the margin, but the market for search is no longer interesting or particularly important.

Matt Taibbi - the “Goldman Sachs is a giant vampire squid” guy - has set his next target: health care reform. From True/Slant:

The reason a real health-care bill is not going to get passed is simple: because nobody in Washington really wants it. There is insufficient political will to get it done. It doesn’t matter that it’s an urgent national calamity, that it is plainly obvious to anyone with an IQ over 8 that our system could not possibly be worse and needs to be fixed very soon, and that, moreover, the only people opposing a real reform bill are a pitifully small number of executives in the insurance industry who stand to lose the chance for a fifth summer house if this thing passes.

It won’t get done, because that’s not the way our government works. Our government doesn’t exist to protect voters from interests, it exists to protect interests from voters. The situation we have here is an angry and desperate population that at long last has voted in a majority that it believes should be able to pass a health care bill. It expects something to be done. The task of the lawmakers on the Hill, at least as they see things, is to create the appearance of having done something. And that’s what they’re doing. Personally, I think they’re doing a lousy job even of that.

NPR has a story about taxing so-called “gold-plated” health insurance. You’ve probably heard the outcry that taxing expensive health insurance plans is just a tax on the rich, but …

“It’s probably not just rich people,” says Len Burman, an economist who runs the Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. “Actually, government employees get really generous health insurance plans, unionized employees can get very generous health insurance plans.”

Burman says there are a lot of reasons people end up with expensive health care. It might be where you live. Health care just costs more in big cities, or in certain regions of the country. You probably pay more if you work for a company that has an older work force. Or for a small business—especially if one of your co-workers is fighting cancer or some other big medical cost and the insurer has just raised the rates for the whole company.

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Comments (7)

Ned D. | Respond
July 30, 2009 7:50 AM PT

I’m still mystified by why the government wants to tax something that they say they want more of. (???)

Who cares if someone gets great coverage? They’re helping to subsidize the rest of us indirectly by spending more. Like the nice folks who buy $2000 first class airline seats so the rest of us can get a coach seat for $200.

It’s pretty backward thinking, IMO

Jane B | Respond
July 30, 2009 8:01 AM PT

Interesting article in today’s Washington Post that posits that taxing insurance benefits will not have any impact on the biggest reason people cite for such taxes: that taxing them will result in more prudent use of health care. The decision to access care, and what care to access, is driven not by consumers but by doctors and hospitals. As they quoted someone saying, “It’s not like someone says, ‘Hey, I’m covered for this at the moment, so I think I’ll go out and get cancer.’” Taxing insurance benefits will result in worse insurance for many employees — which will leave them under-covered, and in debt for all the tests and duplicative care that we aren’t challenging in a significant way. All so insurance execs can have that fifth house, and physician-owned hospitals can grow their profits. Aiyiyi. Ned is right… its backward thinking.

Benjamin | Respond
July 30, 2009 10:57 AM PT

What is the national per capita cost of health care? It seems to me, that the baseline for whether or not we have the will to do a national health care plan is to take that number and propose it as a tax increase on all citizens and corporations. For example: If the national health care bill is $8,000 per person per year, then we raise taxes by that much and give everyone an insurance card issued by the government. Tada, this is baseline healthcare.

An OBVIOUS consequence of giving everyone health care - that I have only heard mentioned in the news once - is that as soon as a plan is passed, costs will skyrocket (making the plan immediately out of date). The reason is simple supply and demand. Assume that today 15%-20% of Americans have no health care coverage, and another 15% or so are under insured. If we give all those people insurance then demand goes up, and supply CAN NOT go up to match that demand for years and years. The costs to build up the health care system infrastructure to meet the demand will take years and billions of dollars in order to put services back where they are today - just so-so.

Where I live we have a municipal water system. As a community we decided that the best use of our resources was to collaborate to build a water treatment and sewer system that works for any resident. Everyone needs water, and will pay any price for it when there is not enough - it is practically priceless when there is a shortage. As a community we do not risk getting this basic necessity via normal capitalism: Citizens do not go to various water vendors and shop for a good price, people do not buy water insurance, and people do not rely on their employer (directly) to provide water needs. It sounds ridiculous to even consider letting “market forces” or capitalism to put our water supply at risk.

If you are thirsty, the community provides all you need and more for the lowest price we could arrange collectively. Can we do the same for when you are sick or injured? I say yes, we just have to stand up and pay the costs: the first of which is the cost to pride to admit we are better off working together over competing in the marketplace when it comes to humanity’s basic needs.

joey | Respond
July 30, 2009 11:26 AM PT

Benjamin

The glaring difference is your community did that for thousands (I’m guessing). Now we’re talking 100+ million.

Benjamin: responding to joey | Respond
July 30, 2009 1:47 PM PT

Joey

Does your community have municipal water and sewage? Does LA, New York, Chicago, and every city in the USA? If so, then Americans have already shown a way to do big things to provide a basic need for hundreds of millions of people. If I told you today that we the people would pay the cost to dig trenches and pipe clean water to every building in every city - well - it just might sound crazy! But here we are. It has been done. We paid that cost. Why not do the same for health care?

joey: responding to Benjamin | Respond
July 30, 2009 1:58 PM PT

Benjamin - those projects weren’t done by the federal government. They all have their difference because not all communities have the same needs and challenges.

Jim Hayes | Respond
July 30, 2009 12:21 PM PT

Well, at least the healthcare debate is stimulating the economy - in DC at least. I did some checking to write a letter to my congressman and over $1,000,000,000 (that’s a billion dollars but looks bigger with all those zeros!) has been spent on lobbying by healthcare companies in the last two and a half years. You now, I’d really like to know what they’re spending all that money on…salaries for lobbyists, I bet!

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