Sponsor
  • News/Talk
  • Music
  • Entertainment
Marketplace logo
Go to Marketplace Home PageGo to Marketplace Morning ReportGo to Marketplace PM editionGo to Marketplace Money
My Two Cents, by Chris Farrell

« Hedge fund absurdity | Main | Depressions and pandemics »

A turnaround?

Posted by Chris Farrell on Monday, May 4, 2009

A theme of this blog has been that the Administration's efforts are working to avert a greater economic catastrophe than what we've been though. In essence, the bad news is getting less bad. To be sure, the closer you look at any one initiative the more apparent the flaws. But taking a step back it sure looks like the combination of massive fiscal stimulus, a herculean Fed easing and a number of homeowner restructuring initiatives is working. Certainly, that's the message in the stock market.

We are still a long ways away from the job market improving, and the economy remains extremely fragile. The mantra "the bad news is less bad" is hardly rousing information except compared to what appeared to be forming--another Great Depression, 21st century style.

Paul Krugman has been a fierce critic of the Administration. Krugman has also been essentially right on the economy for the past three years or so. That's why I found this line toward the end of his latest column striking: "Credit where credit is due: President Obama and his economic advisers seem to have steered the economy away from the abyss."

The column focuses on stagnant to falling wages.


Comments (2)

St. Pauli Girl | Respond
May 4, 2009 9:19 PM

Nice to see that the professor -- who bare weeks ago was in "despair" because he was upset that the new president didn't try to ram through a stimulus package of the size the prof insisted was needed -- did finally man up today and grudgingly admit that "Credit where credit is due: President Obama and his economic advisers seem to have steered the economy away from the abyss." But of course this was only after a few hundred words implying otherwise, and was immediately followed by the mother of all qualifiers.

Compare this with Nouriel Roubini, the usual "Dr. Doom" -- who apparently has a strong enough ego not to be offended if the POTUS doesn't always take his unsolicited advice and so isn't tempted into ill-advised public temper tantrums -- and his belief that, instead of Krugman's stated fears (wishes?) of L-shaped Japanese-style stagnation, we're actually about midway through a U-shaped recession that we should be leaving behind us well before this time next year.

nice post!! To be sure, the closer you look at any one initiative the more apparent the flaws.

Post a comment

(If you haven't left a comment here before, you may need to be approved by the site owner before your comment will appear. Until then, it won't appear on the entry. Thanks for waiting.)

 

 
 

Subscribe to RSS

Latest posts

Madoff sentenced to 150 years in jail
 
"Febezzlement"
 
A lost decade?
 
Missing Warren Buffett
 
Zweig on Bernstein
 
The older worker
 
The Graduate, updated
 
Real estate investment is risky
 
Short sighted management?
 
Nussbaum on design
 

Topics


 

Latest comments from recent posts

The Graduate, updated (1)
shareef defrawi wrote: Interesting. I believe that access to good statistical data ... [read]

Short sighted management? (1)
Jim Irvine wrote: As the number of college graduates increases, the value of t... [read]

The economics of global climate change (1)
AntonioSosa wrote: No patriotic and informed American can support the global wa... [read]

A turnaround? (2)
premium finance wrote: nice post!! To be sure, the closer you look at any one init... [read]

The housing bailout (1)
marvin wrote: There's a very good indication that the <a href="http://www.... [read]


 

Archives

July 2009
S M T W T F S
      1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12 13 14 15 16 17 18
19 20 21 22 23 24 25
26 27 28 29 30 31  
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007

 

Appearances and Worthwhile Events

Policy and a Pint: Health Care Handcuffs
 
 
 

More From
Chris Farrell

Marketplace Money's Money Clip Video
 
How Alan Helped Ben (BusinessWeek.com)
 
 
 

Other Blogs

Andrew Tobias
 
Angry Bear
 
Becker-Posner Blog
 
Brad DeLong
 
Cafe Hayek
 
Calculated Risk
 
Econbrowser
 
Economics Unbound
 
Economists View
 
Financial Rounds
 
Finance Roundtable
 
Greg Mankiw's Blog
 
Hot Property
 
Marginal Revolution
 
New Economist
 
TaxProf Blog
 
The Big Picture
 
Vox Baby
 
 
 

Books by
Chris Farrell

Right on the Money!: Taking Control of Your Personal Finances
rightonthemoney_bookcover.gif

 
 
 
Deflation: What Happens When Prices Fall
deflation_bookcover.gif

 
 
 

Recommended Books

Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk
by Peter L. Bernstein

 
A Random Walk Down Wall Street
by Burton Malkiel

 
The Little Book of Common Sense Investing
by John Bogle

 
Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits
by Phillip Fisher

 
The Intelligent Investor
by Benjamin Graham

 
More Than You Know: Finding Financial Wisdom in Unconventional Places
by Michael Mauboussin

 
Smart and Simple Financial Strategies for Busy People
by Jane Bryant Quinn

 
Stocks for the Long Run
by Jeremy Siegel

 
The Random Walk Guide to Investing: Ten Rules for Financial Success
by Burton Malkiel

 
The Only Investment Guide You'll Ever Need
by Andrew Tobias

 
Unconventional Success: A Fundamental Approach to Personal Investment
by David F. Swensen