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My Two Cents, by Chris Farrell

« More downward pressure | Main | Deflation: What Happens When Prices Fall? »

Deflation pressures mounting

Posted by Chris Farrell on Friday, November 21, 2008

Forget the stock market. (Okay, that's hard to do.) But Paul Krugman at the New York Times has a truly scary chart. It's rising real rates--the cost of borrowing is surging.

corporate%20real.png

Krugman has been spot on in his articles. The Fed and the federal government have got to take the rise in real rates seriously.

How sereiously? Under normal circumstances, GM should be allowed to go under. But these are not normal times. The government may want to push GM into bankruptcy, for instance, but then it needs to provide a lot of back-up financing. The private sector certainly won't.

It's time to boost fiscal spending even more.


Comments (1)

Economic forecasts are clear and so too is the news: consumer and producer prices exhibited a jaw-drop last month in the U.S. and deflation risk is rising. With expectations of a deflation, businesses will find themselves in tough times making tough decisions. And that’ll require rock-solid crisis communication capabilities. It’s absolutely critical to communicate with stakeholders about current and future steps that will help weather the tough times, which I’ve discussed in greater detail at http://peppercomblog.typepad.com/

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