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My Two Cents, by Chris Farrell

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Inflation Inequality?

Posted by Chris Farrell on Wednesday, July 9, 2008

Income inequality has worsened ovre the past three decades or so. Economists in the Global Economics Research area of UBS recently took a look "inflation inequality."

Two results aren't surprising. The top income group is the least likely to suffer from rising prices. Low income Americans since 2000 have seen their price index rise by over 7% more than higher income American consumers.For the low-income it's food and healthcare, as well as utilities and heating bills, that are the drivers behind inflation pressures.

So far, no real surprise. What's different, the economists argue is that "this time the middle class in America is sharing inflation 'pain' with lower income groups."

But the force behind middle class inflation is different from lower class inflation. For the middle class, gasoline is the big culprit. Call it the price of an SUV culture. Middle class families also have greater room to manuever for financial relief:

The damage to standards of living for middle-income families is not entirely clear, however. The middle-income family has scope to change their consumption habits in a way that lower-income groups do not. In economic parlance, middle-income families have price elasticity as to their demand. A middle-income family has a choice of where to shop for food, for instance, and may prefer to substitute own-label products, or discount stores, to maintain their standard of living, but pay less to do so. Rather than buying premium grades of petrol, the middle-income family could chose to maintain their mileage, but downgrade the fuel used.

The UBS economists add that the trends they've highlighted are true across the OECD.


Comments (2)

It may be true that the middle class has more maneuvering room than the lower class in its choices of where to buy and what to buy. What is less true today are the ways open to the middle class to make life-style choices to ease the economic pain. With the housing downturn, the middle class can no longer downsize their homes to conserve on utility costs, nor move closer to work. Nor can savings rates ease the burden because these rates are very low.

While the UBS notes the trends, it also did not mention that in a consumer driven society, when consumers buy necessaries only, the rest of the economy can not be supported. I wonder how long it will take before we will see a tilt in these other areas as well.

Christina Little | Respond
July 14, 2008 11:35 AM

It would be helpful if you would date your comments.

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