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« Take Social Security at 62? | Main | A Good Rant »
On Sunday, I cleaned my office and I came upon an interview with Robert Wilson by Brett Fromson of the Street.com. (It's several years old.) Robert Wilson is one of the great investors of the past half century. A hedge fund pioneer, he took $15,000 of his own money in 1949 and parlayed it into a $226 million fortune when he retired in 1986. He did by investing, not raking in fees. He was a billionaire at the time of the interview.
But here's the fascinating part. When he "retired" he divided his money among roughly 20 aggressive top-flight money managers. He ended up firing 14 over the years, but kept roughly the same number overall. But here's a calculation by Wilson:
Up until the beginning of 1999, I would say that if I'd put half of my money, in fact, I actually did a rough calculation of this, if I'd put half of my money in an index fund -- the S&P, the Vanguard fund -- and half of my money in two-year Treasury bills, I would have done almost as well as these managers did. The problem is, Brett, in any year, some manager was sort of losing touch and had to be replaced, another manager, who was doing fabulously, had a bad year, and things average out. I found it very frustrating, I was in fact, running a fund of funds and when I say very frustrating, that's overstating it. I didn't do anything about it and ...
He could have done almost as well with equity index funds and T-bills, with a lot less work and frustration.
What is his advice for you and me? Here goes:
I'd say as a general rule put it in index funds, there are even growth stock index funds now. I don't see why small investors should horse around with money managers.
Because?
They cost. They're more expensive than index funds, and there's no evidence that they do as well over a period of time.
Indexing is terrific for the individual investor.
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Comments (2)
I am always amazed with people trying to "beat" the market. I believe in a philosophy that I just want the market returns. Just rely on the basic blocking and tackling of the market. This involves rebalancing once a year and investing in a broad diversification of low-cost index classes based on your risk tolerance and your age. A basic portfolio should have a balanced mix of;
Lg. cap
Mid cap
Small cap
Int’l large
Int’l small
Emerging markets
Bonds
Ask yourself, "Why are you KILLING yourself trying to beat the market by 1 or 2%"? Unless you can dedicate a lot of time to your investments, have no children, no family or friends you want see and are able to watch CNBC 24/7, your WILL wear yourself out trying to be smarter than the professionals. By aiming for the broad market returns and setting your investments on autopilot, you will beat 95% of the active managed funds out there over the course of your working lifetime. Of course you can buy those individual stocks with some discretional income, but the majority of your retirement money should be in the above asset classes.
Posted by M Doyle | April 5, 2007 10:04 AM
Chris and M Doyle are right on the money. I believe that index funds are the best investment for small investors like myself.
Simple does not sell. Marketing convinces inexperienced investors to invest in expensive mutual funds.
The tax liability on index funds is minimal. Actively managed funds that I own are a burden at tax time.
Posted by J Stertz | April 7, 2007 12:22 PM