July 6, 2005
The Art of the Unproductive Out
Adam Dunn sure attracts a lot of attention. He's 6'6", 275 pounds, runs more like an NFL tight end than other ballplayers his size, not that there are many his size. He's just not the kind of player on which I'd mortgage the future. Maybe you saw the story about his first sacrifice fly in almost 2 years. That gives him a whopping 8 sacrifice flies in over 2,450 plate appearances in his career.
I believe it was Tim Kurkjian on Baseball Tonight who said something to the effect that Dunn's inability to hit a sacrifice fly, coupled with his ability to hit home runs and his huge strikeout totals, was an indication of a hitter who was not very good at situational hitting. I agree with that assessment. His career batting average with runners in scoring position is .208. And 57 of his 140 career home runs have come in the cozy launching pad that is the Great America Ballpark.
The season is not over, but Adam Dunn would not make this team that much better from here on out.
Posted by Andrew Torres at 10:04 AM
Dunn as a replacement for Drew doesn't work. But, like any trade, it depends on who you get for him. The Dodgers do need a No. 5 or 6 hitter (not as much as the Padres do, but it couldn't hurt) and Dunn would fit perfect in that spot...especially with the decent OBP numbers that DePodesta already gets from his 1-2-3 hitters. If you put Dunn behind Kent, all of a sudden you have someone with a decent swing. And remember, because of his OBP, Dunn has never really hit behind people who can get on base effectively....he hits in the top of the order too frequently.
Posted by: Ethan Lindsey on July 6, 2005 8:03 PM
Big swing. Small park. Check out www.baseball-reference.com and how his stats compare to other players at his age level.
On the high side, Reggie Jackson and Darryl Strawberry. But then there's Pete Incaviglia on the low end. I think that, in the right lineup, he could become Jim Thome, but I also think he's high risk.
I read a Cincinnati Post columnist who believes that if the Reds traded Dunn, they would lose whatever little credibility that they have left. To me that means that they'll want a lot in return so that they won't get roasted by the Cincinnati fans and press.
Posted by: Andrew Torres on July 6, 2005 9:07 PM